A just published paper in Nature Geoscience by Santer et al confirms, yet again, that the models are wrong, have been wrong for decades, and they consistently, and substantially overestimate global warming. The paper concludes:
“Over most of the early twenty-first century, however, model tropospheric warming is substantially larger than observed; warming rate differences are generally outside the range of trends arising from internal variability. The probability that multi-decadal internal variability fully explains the asymmetry between the late twentieth and early twenty-first century results is low (between zero and about 9%).”
It goes on to note that the problem is caused by “systematic deficiencies” in the model simulations. In other words, the models are wrong!