Month: October 2022

Reblogged from Shortfall

By David Siegel
October 5, 2022

As of October 5, 2022: Number of peer-reviewed papers listed on this page: 115

I’m glad you’re interested in science. However, I don’t think peer review is the signal of scientific rigor you think it is. Simple statistical analysis shows that the majority of peer-reviewed findings are false or meaningless, and the press will take any paper and blow it up into a headline. But people often ask me for peer-reviewed papers refuting the standard dogma of climate alarm, and there are many. Keep in mind that all atmospheric data before 1980 is suspect, and all ocean measurements before 2005 are worthless. Everyone knows Antarctica is not warming, so I’ll focus on trying to figure out man’s role in the climate.

When I ask people who are sure that humans are having an alarming impact on the earth’s climate, I ask them to name one single paper that convinced them. So far, I have never gotten a paper.

No one reads papers, but I do. Some of them I don’t think are worth sharing, but a few are, and I present them here. I’ll write summaries, because I know people won’t click through. If you are convinced humans are causing climate change, you might want to understand the science a bit more; these summaries are designed to help you do that. There is much more at Climatecurious.com.

[See the whole list of papers and the rest of this post HERE.]

It’s time to state the obvious

by Michael Shellenberger
October 4, 2022

reblogged from Substack

Over the last several weeks, many mainstream news media outlets have claimed that hurricanes are becoming more expensive, more frequent, and more intense because of climate change.

• The Financial Times reported that “hurricane frequency is on the rise.”
• The New York Times claimed, “strong storms are becoming more common in the Atlantic Ocean.”
• The Washington Post said, “climate change is rapidly fueling super hurricanes.”
• ABC News declared, “Here’s how climate change intensifies hurricanes.”
• Both the FT and N.Y. Times showed graphs purporting to show rising hurricane frequency using data from the U.S. government’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA).

All of those claims are false.

Read rest of post HERE.

Despite terrible news of hurricane Ian in Florida this week, the good news is that hurricanes in Florida have become steadily less prevalent in Florida over the past 170 years, and that trend continues.

More and more media and climate alarmists have been claiming that hurricanes are getting, or going to get, more powerful due to human production of CO2, but this statement is not supported by any actual data, and is based purely on speculation using computer models that are known to have numerous flaws. Even the notoriously alarmist IPCC states in its most recent AR6 report that there is only “limited evidence for anthropogenic effects on TC intensifications” (Chapter 11, Weather and Climate Extreme Events in a Changing Climate, 11.7.1.4). Indeed most studies have concluded the opposite. See for example Klotzbach and Landsea (2015) which states, “Large, significant downward trends are present in accumulated cyclone energy [i.e. hurricane strength] in the Northern Hemisphere, the Southern Hemisphere, and globally.” Or Vecchi et al (2021) which concluded that over the past century, there is no discernible increase in the ratio of major (Category 3 to 5) hurricanes to all hurricanes in the North Atlantic notwithstanding a recent 50-year increase: “Our results indicate that the recent increase in NA basin-wide MH/HU ratio or MH frequency is not part of a century-scale increase. Rather it is a rebound from a deep local minimum in the 1960s–1980s,” and indeed the authors hypothesize that the “recent increases contain a substantial, even dominant, contribution from internal climate variability, and/or late-20th century aerosol increases and subsequent decreases…”

Glad to be the bearer of good news!