Despite Usual Alarmist Rants, Nothing Alarming About February Global Temp

Despite the usual alarmist rants from predictable sources and their compliant media outlets, there is absolutely nothing alarming about the predicted cyclical uptick in February 2016 global temperatures. As we have mentioned here previously, the strong El Niño (not global warming) is to blame, and if one compares the current El Niño response to the 1997/98 El Niño response as Bob Tisdale has done so skillfully here, it is absolutely clear that the two are nearly identical. If anything, the response to the 1997/98 El Niño was slightly stronger.


New AMS survey busts the 97% climate consensus claim

Watts Up With That?

Fully a third don’t agree that man is the primary driver

Another survey of 4,092 members of the American Meteorological Society (AMS) from George Mason University (home of Shukla and the RICO20) on climate change attitudes in that organization was released yesterday. However, the survey itself is tainted with the stench of the RICO20 and their calls for prosecution and jailing of “climate deniers”.

The survey results show a general acceptance of the view that climate change is happening, and that the cause is partly due to human activity, but there is a contingent that sticks out like a sore thumb.

Dr. Roy Spencer notes on his blog:

But what I find interesting is that the supposed 97% consensus on climate change (which we know is bogus anyway) turns into only 67% when we consider the number of people who believe climate change is mostly or entirely caused by…

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Series: Climate Models are NOT Simulating Earth’s Climate

Bob Tisdale - Climate Observations

This is a reference post about a recent series of blog posts that illustrated how poorly climate models simulate Earth’s climate.  I’ve also added a few other examples in this post.

Those posts include:

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More Alarmist Nonsense with the Release of the Redundant* NOAA Global Temperature Data for February 2016

Bob Tisdale - Climate Observations

*Or Maybe the GISS Land-Ocean Temperature Index is Redundant.

In the post Alarmism Cranked Up to Absurd Level, we discussed the misleading media reports about the temporary February 2016 El Niño-related uptick in monthly global surface temperature data from the Goddard Institute of Space Studies. There have been numerous new same-topic news articles since NOAA released its February 2016 global temperature data a few days ago.  The NOAA/NCEI data show an uptick similar to the one we recently saw with the GISS data. See Figure 1. (A similar graph of the GISS data is here.)

Figure 1

Figure 1

(Data can be found here.)

Let’s focus on the AP story Beyond record hot, February was ‘astronomical’ and ‘strange’ by Seth Borenstein. It begins:

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Alarmism Cranked Up to Absurd Level

Bob Tisdale - Climate Observations

Featured Image

With the El Niño-related uptick in the February 2016 GISS Land-Ocean Temperature Index, Figure 1, alarmism has reached beyond the Spinal Tap11 volume setting, up to 20. (For those in need of a chuckle, the YouTube video of related portion of This is Spinal Tap is here.  Thanks to Rob Reiner and Christopher Guest for that very funny scene.)

Figure 1 GISS LOTI 1880-Feb 2016

Figure 1

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Flaws discovered in Gavin Schmidt’s new climate paper, not so ‘marvel’ous after all

Gavin Schmidt wrong again…

Watts Up With That?


Bishop Hill writes:

Over at Climate Audit, Nic Lewis has outlined the latest developments in the saga of the Marvel et al paper, which claimed to have demonstrated that climate sensitivity is low, but appeared to have a whole series of problems, not least of which that it had got its forcing data mucked up, leaving out land-use changes entirely.

In a typically erm…robust article at RealClimate, Gavin Schmidt ignored all the evidence Lewis had presented showing that land-use change had been overlooked, and said that Lewis’s critique was made…without evidence. However, it now seems that he has decided that this position is not tenable, at the journal at least,and a correction has been issued admitting that land-use was indeed missing.

The historical instantaneous radiative forcing time series was also updated to reflect land use change, which was inadvertently excluded from the forcing originally calculated from ref…

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