New NOAA forecast suggests current El Niño will fade fast, and be replaced by a strong cooling La Niña this year

Watts Up With That?

Dr. Roger Pielke Sr. directs me to this new forecast product from NOAA’s Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL). If it holds, it suggests a big cooling event ahead.

NOAA/ESRL PSD and CU CIRES Forecast in Global Tropics Domain

LIM forecasts of SST anomalies based on November-December-January 2015-2016 initial conditions. Contour interval is 0.3 degrees C. For numerical values click here.

enso-forecast

Source: http://esrl.boulder.noaa.gov/psd/forecasts/sstlim/for4gl.html

He adds:

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