Month: February 2016

Kenneth Richard presents a list of 250 peer-reviewed papers published in 2015 supporting the skeptical position that natural factors are in fact a dominant climate driver, and the publishing pace seems to be accelerating with nearly 50 papers already published in 2016 showing that CO2 climate science is exaggerated and that natural factors are indeed dominant climate forces that will not be tamed by man emitting a trace gas.

Here’s a small sampling of some of the conclusions:

“Mounting evidence from proxy records suggests that variations in solar activity have played a significant role in triggering past climate changes.” geology.gsapubs.org

“Solar minimum conditions reinforce the high pressure above Greenland together with a weakening of the other two North Atlantic pressure centres.” ann-geophys.net

“There have been many studies noting correlations between solar cycles and changes in the Earth temperature.” rxiv.org

“Ocean heat content anomaly (OHCa) time series in some areas of the Pacific are significantly correlated with the total solar irradiance (TSI). ” sciencedirect.com

While there is scientific consensus that global and local mean sea level (GMSL and LMSL) has risen since the late nineteenth century, the relative contribution of natural and anthropogenic forcing remains unclear.” nature.com

“Most present-generation climate models simulate an increase in global-mean surface temperature (GMST) since 1998, whereas observations suggest a warming hiatus.” nature.com

“Positive (negative) phases of the AMO coincide with warmer (colder) North Atlantic sea surface temperatures. The AMO is linked with decadal climate fluctuations, such as Indian and Sahel rainfall, European summer precipitation, Atlantic hurricanes and variations in global temperatures. It is widely believed that ocean circulation drives the phase changes of the AMO by controlling ocean heat content. “ nature.com

It has been claimed that the early-2000s global warming slowdown or hiatus, characterized by a reduced rate of global surface warming, has been overstated, lacks sound scientific basis, or is unsupported by observations. The evidence presented here contradicts these claims.

Fyfe et al, just published at nature.com, provides further confirmation of the ‘slowdown’ or ‘hiatus’ in global warming that has been noted by such wide ranging sources as the IPCC AR5, NASA, UAH, RSS, the Met Office, and virtually every other data source on global temperature. Indeed, the much vaunted Karl et al (2015), which claims a few highly questionable ‘adjustments’ to the data (mostly modifications of the sea surface temperatures) effectively erase the ‘hiatus’ is very much an outlier on this matter in the peer reviewed literature. READ MORE…

In June 2015, NOAA NCEI Director Thomas R. Karl published a paper “Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus” that concludes

Here we present an updated global surface temperature analysis that reveals that global trends are higher than reported by the IPCC, especially in recent decades, and that the central estimate for the rate of warming during the first 15 years of the 21st century is at least as great as the last half of the 20th century. These results do not support the notion of a “slowdown” in the increase of global surface temperature.

In addition to the several problems with the questionable data adjustments made by Karl et al that have been thoroughly documented and analyzed by Bob Tisdale, Anthony Watts, Judith Curry, Richard S. Lindzen, Arno Arrak, Ross McKitrick, Patrick J. Michaels, Paul C. Knappenberger, Christopher Monckton of Brenchley, S. Fred Singer, and others in the following articles to name a few: READ MORE…