Plausible scenarios for climate change: 2020-2050

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

A range of scenarios for global mean surface temperature change between 2020 and 2050, derived using a semi-empirical approach. All three modes of natural climate variability – volcanoes, solar and internal variability – are expected to act in the direction of cooling during this period.

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Climate sensitivity in light of the latest energy imbalance evidence

Climate Etc.

by Frank Bosse

Equilibrium climate sensitivity computed from the latest energy imbalance data.

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Comment by Cowtan & Jacobs on Lewis & Curry 2018 and Reply: Part 2

Climate Etc.

By Nic Lewis

In an earlier article here I discussed a Comment on Lewis and Curry 2018 (LC18) by Kevin Cowtan and Peter Jacobs (CJ20), and a Reply from myself and Judith Curry recently published by Journal of Climate (copy available here). I wrote that I would defer dealing with the differences between observed and CMIP5 model-simulated historical warming, which formed the basis of CJ20’s numerical analysis, until a subsequent article. I now do so.

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The toxic rhetoric of climate change

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

“I genuinely have the fear that climate change is going to kill me and all my family, I’m not even kidding it’s  all I have thought about for the last 9 months every second of the day. It’s making my sick to my stomach, I’m not eating or sleeping and I’m getting panic attacks daily. It’s currently 1 am and I can’t sleep as I’m petrified.”  – Young adult in the UK

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Madrid

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

The UN Climate Change Conference this week in Madrid provides an important opportunity to reflect on state of the public debate surrounding climate change.

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‘Alarmism enforcement’ on hurricanes and global warming

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

I used to be concerned about ‘consensus enforcement’ on the topic of climate change.  Now I am concerned about ‘alarmism enforcement.’

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Climate Change: What’s the Worst Case?

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

My new manuscript is now available.

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Re-evaluating the manufacture of the climate consensus

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

A new book by Oppenheimer, Oreskes et al. entitled ‘Discerning Experts: The Practices of Scientific Assessment for Environmental Policy‘ make a case against consensus seeking in climate science assessments.

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Hearing on climate change and natural disasters: Today

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

The House Oversight and Reform Environmental Subcommittee in a Hearing on Recovery, Resilience and Readiness – Contending with Natural Disasters in the Wake of Climate Change begins at 2 pm EDT.

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Climate science’s ‘masking bias’ problem

Climate Etc.

by Judith Curry

How valid conclusions often lay hidden within research reports, masked by plausible but unjustified conclusions reached in those reports.  And how the IPCC institutionalizes such masking errors in climate science.

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